Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense
Brazil Serie B
Fortaleza EC
Atletico Goianiense
November 2, 2026 at 20:00 · Estadio Castelão
Won
Fortaleza EC vs Atletico Goianiense prediction and betting tip for this Brazil Serie B match, kicking off November 2, 2026 at 20:00 at Estadio Castelão. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.28), 84% confidence. Final score: 0-0 (0-0). The tip won.
Fortaleza EC 0-0 Atletico Goianiense: Match Report
Fortaleza EC and Atletico Goianiense played out a goalless draw at Estadio Castelão in the Brazil Serie B on Monday. It was goalless at half-time.
Fortaleza EC had 56% of the ball and 16 shots (2 on target) to Atletico Goianiense's 19 (5). Expected goals finished Fortaleza EC 1.58, Atletico Goianiense 1.33, so a draw was a fair result.
Roger Rodrigues da Silva (Atletico Goianiense, 57') was sent off. Referee Bruno Arleu showed 7 yellow cards.
Our tip, Under 3.5 Goals, won with 0 goals in the game.
Goals & cards
- 36' Bastos Fortaleza EC · Yellow Card
- 45+3' Cristiano Claudinei Nogueira Atletico Goianiense · Yellow Card
- 55' Henrique Atletico Goianiense · Yellow Card
- 56' Roger Rodrigues da Silva Atletico Goianiense · Yellow Card
- 57' Roger Rodrigues da Silva Atletico Goianiense · Red Card
- 62' Gustavo Maia da Silva Atletico Goianiense · Yellow Card
- 90' Rodrigo Henrique Santos De Souza Fortaleza EC · Yellow Card
- 90+1' Pierre Fortaleza EC · Yellow Card
- 90+4' Maílton Fortaleza EC · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
Fortaleza EC hosted Atletico Goianiense in the Brazil Serie B (matchday 36) on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 20:00 WAT at Estadio Castelão in Fortaleza. Bruno Arleu was the referee.
Fortaleza EC are 5th in the table with 61 points from 35 games (16-13-6), while Atletico Goianiense sit 8th on 54 points. Fortaleza EC have a 7-point advantage. At home Fortaleza EC have won 9 of 17; Atletico Goianiense have won 5 of 17 on the road.
Fortaleza EC have two wins and three draws in their last 5 league games (D-W-D-W-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Atletico Goianiense have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-D-D-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Fortaleza EC have won 2, Atletico Goianiense 3, with 1 draw and an average of 2.5 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2026, finished Atletico Goianiense 1-0 Fortaleza EC.
Fortaleza EC average 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 15 clean sheets and 8 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-2-1. Atletico Goianiense average 1.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 12 clean sheets and 9 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Players to watch: Maílton leads Fortaleza EC's scoring with 9 goals and 3 assists; Gustavo Coutinho leads Atletico Goianiense's scoring with 13 goals.
Line-ups: Fortaleza EC lined up in a 3-4-3, Atletico Goianiense in a 4-2-3-1.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Fortaleza EC the favourites: Fortaleza EC 2.15, draw 3.20, Atletico Goianiense 3.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.05 and under at 1.75. Both teams to score: yes 1.80, no 1.91.
Our prediction was Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.1 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.5 goals and recent form points to 2.4 goals a game.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | +12 | 61 |
| 8 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
Season stats
| Fortaleza EC | Atletico Goianiense | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 35 | 35 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 16 / 13 / 6 | 14 / 12 / 9 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 43 (1.2) | 42 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 31 (0.9) | 33 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 15 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 9 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-2-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- Maílton 9 goals · 3 assists
- Gustavo Coutinho 13 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
João Ricardo, Neris, Jaílson, Bartolomeu Jacinto Quissanga, Maílton, Pierre, Ryan Gustavo, Rodriguinho, Lucca, Francisco da Costa, Pedro Henrique
Coach: Paulo Autuori
Paulo Vítor, Warley, J. Barreto, Adriano Martins, Guilherme Lopes, Henrique Freitas Alves, Cristiano, Soares Geovany, Marrony, Gustavo Maia, Gustavo Coutinho
Coach: Roger
Data: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 22:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.31 – 0.83 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC win | 48.0% |
| Draw | 28.5% |
| Atletico Goianiense win | 23.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 76.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 52.0% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 64.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83.2% |
| Both teams to score | 41.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 2 Nov 2026, 19:14, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.1 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.5 goals and recent form points to 2.4 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Fortaleza EC wins 1 draws 3 Atletico Goianiense wins last 6 meetings
- Atletico Goianiense1 - 0Fortaleza EC Serie B
- Atletico Goianiense3 - 1Fortaleza EC Serie A
- Fortaleza EC3 - 1Atletico Goianiense Serie A
- Fortaleza EC1 - 1Atletico Goianiense Serie A
- Atletico Goianiense0 - 1Fortaleza EC Serie A
- Fortaleza EC0 - 3Atletico Goianiense Serie A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 16:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).