IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS
Sweden Allsvenskan
IF Elfsborg
Orgryte IS
November 1, 2026 at 16:30 · Borås Arena
Won
IF Elfsborg vs Orgryte IS prediction and betting tip for this Sweden Allsvenskan match, kicking off November 1, 2026 at 16:30 at Borås Arena. Our tip: Home Win Either Half, 82% confidence. Final score: 2-1 (0-0). The tip won.
IF Elfsborg 2-1 Orgryte IS: Match Report
IF Elfsborg beat Orgryte IS 2-1 at Borås Arena in the Sweden Allsvenskan on Sunday, coming from behind. It was goalless at half-time.
Tobias Sana opened the scoring for Orgryte IS on 52 minutes, set up by william hofvander. Julius Magnusson levelled for IF Elfsborg on 65 minutes, set up by Simon Olsson. Leo Hakan Ostman won it for IF Elfsborg in stoppage time (90+3'), set up by Alexander Jensen.
IF Elfsborg had 70% of the ball and 15 shots (5 on target) to Orgryte IS's 9 (3). Expected goals finished IF Elfsborg 1.89, Orgryte IS 0.71, so IF Elfsborg deserved the win.
Referee Victor Wolf showed 5 yellow cards.
Our tip, Home Win Either Half, won as IF Elfsborg won.
Goals & cards
- 6' Owen Parker-Price Orgryte IS · Yellow Card
- 52' Tobias Sana Orgryte IS · assist william hofvander
- 65' Julius Magnusson IF Elfsborg · assist Simon Olsson
- 75' Julius Magnusson IF Elfsborg · Yellow Card
- 83' Jonathan Esenga IF Elfsborg · Yellow Card
- 86' Adam Andersson Orgryte IS · Yellow Card
- 90+3' Leo Hakan Ostman IF Elfsborg · assist Alexander Jensen
- 90+7' S.Lagerlund Orgryte IS · Yellow Card
Match stats
Before the match
IF Elfsborg hosted Orgryte IS in the Sweden Allsvenskan (matchday 27) on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 16:30 WAT at Borås Arena in Boras. Victor Wolf was the referee.
IF Elfsborg are 5th in the table with 43 points from 26 games (11-10-5), while Orgryte IS sit 15th on 19 points. IF Elfsborg have a 24-point advantage. At home IF Elfsborg have won 7 of 13; Orgryte IS have won 2 of 13 on the road.
IF Elfsborg have two wins and three draws in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-D-D), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Orgryte IS have one win, one draw and three defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-W-D-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
In their last 3 meetings IF Elfsborg have won 1, Orgryte IS 1, with 1 draw and an average of 4.3 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Orgryte IS 2-2 IF Elfsborg.
IF Elfsborg average 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Orgryte IS average 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 8 games without scoring, usually in a 3-4-3.
IF Elfsborg will be without V. Elfstrom (inactive), P. Frick (inactive) and L. Hagg (inactive). Orgryte IS will be without A. Abukar (knee injury), R. Alm (injury) and W. Svensson (foot injury).
Players to watch: L. Ãstman leads IF Elfsborg's scoring with 9 goals and 2 assists; N. Christoffersson leads Orgryte IS's scoring with 8 goals and 1 assist.
Line-ups: IF Elfsborg lined up in a 4-2-3-1, Orgryte IS in a 5-3-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made IF Elfsborg the favourites: IF Elfsborg 1.40, draw 4.50, Orgryte IS 7.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.57 and under at 2.35. Both teams to score: yes 1.75, no 2.00.
Our prediction was Home Win Either Half.
Team news
- Out V. Elfstrom Inactive
- Out P. Frick Inactive
- Out L. Hagg Inactive
- Out A. Abukar Knee Injury
- Out R. Alm Injury
- Out W. Svensson Foot Injury
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +13 | 43 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -26 | 19 |
Season stats
| IF Elfsborg | Orgryte IS | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 26 | 26 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 11 / 10 / 5 | 4 / 7 / 15 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 39 (1.5) | 32 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 26 (1.0) | 58 (2.2) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.6 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | 4-2 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 3-4-3 |
Top scorers
- L. Ãstman 9 goals · 2 assists
- N. Christoffersson 8 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
T. Sander, A. Jensen, R. Wikström, T. Isherwood, N. Hult, J. Magnússon, S. Olsson, A. Sigurpálsson, J. Beck, S. Hedlund, L. Ãstman
Coach: Björn Hamberg
H. Gustafsson, D. Paulson, S. Lagerlund, M. Dyrestam, C. Styffe, A. Andreasson, O. Parker-Price, W. Kenndal, W. Hofvander, L. Andersson, T. Sana
Coach: A. Holmberg
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.36 – 0.74 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg win | 73.4% |
| Draw | 16.6% |
| Orgryte IS win | 10.0% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 90.0% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 26.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62.5% |
| Both teams to score | 47.5% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 16:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Home Win Either Half
Form (last 5)
IF Elfsborg
WWDDD
2.0 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Orgryte IS
LLWDL
1.6 scored · 2.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 IF Elfsborg wins 1 draws 1 Orgryte IS wins last 3 meetings
- Orgryte IS2 - 2IF Elfsborg Allsvenskan
- IF Elfsborg3 - 1Orgryte IS Svenska Cupen
- Orgryte IS3 - 2IF Elfsborg Svenska Cupen
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 13:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
