Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets
Australia A-League
Perth Glory
Newcastle Jets
November 7, 2026 at 11:45 · HBF Park
Won
Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets prediction and betting tip for this Australia A-League match, kicking off November 7, 2026 at 11:45 at HBF Park. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.14), 87% confidence. Final score: 2-1 (1-0). The tip won.
Perth Glory 2-1 Newcastle Jets: Match Report
Perth Glory beat Newcastle Jets 2-1 at HBF Park in the Australia A-League on Saturday. Perth Glory led 1-0 at half-time.
J. Kucharski opened the scoring for Perth Glory on 39 minutes, set up by S. Despotovski. J. Kucharski made it 2-0 on 48 minutes, set up by S. Sutton. N. Vergos pulled one back for Newcastle Jets in stoppage time (90+2'), set up by D. Wilmering.
Newcastle Jets had 72% of the ball, while Perth Glory had 12 shots (3 on target) to Newcastle Jets's 15 (4).
Referee Sam Kelly showed 2 yellow cards.
Our tip, Over 1.5 Goals, won with 3 goals in the game.
Goals & cards
- 5' T. Kuzamba Perth Glory · Yellow Card
- 7' D. Wilmering Newcastle Jets · Yellow Card
- 39' J. Kucharski Perth Glory · assist S. Despotovski
- 48' J. Kucharski Perth Glory · assist S. Sutton
- 88' G. De Abreu Perth Glory · Yellow Card
- 90+2' N. Vergos Newcastle Jets · assist D. Wilmering
Match stats
Before the match
Perth Glory hosted Newcastle Jets in the Australia A-League (matchday 4) on Saturday 7 November 2026, kick-off 11:45 WAT at HBF Park in Perth. Sam Kelly was the referee.
Perth Glory are 8th in the table with 3 points from 3 games (1-0-2), while Newcastle Jets sit 10th on 2 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Perth Glory have won 1 of 1; Newcastle Jets have won 0 of 1 on the road.
Perth Glory have one win and two defeats in their last 3 league games (L-L-W), averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Newcastle Jets have two draws and one defeat in their last 3 league games (D-D-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Perth Glory have won 2, Newcastle Jets 3, with 1 draw and an average of 3.7 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished Perth Glory 1-3 Newcastle Jets.
Perth Glory average 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet, usually in a 4-4-2. Newcastle Jets average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1.
Players to watch: M. Ellis leads Perth Glory's scoring with 2 goals; X. Bertoncello leads Newcastle Jets's scoring with 1 goal.
Line-ups: Perth Glory lined up in a 4-4-2, Newcastle Jets in a 4-1-3-2.
Before kick-off, bookmakers made Perth Glory the favourites: Perth Glory 2.30, draw 4.00, Newcastle Jets 2.60 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.44 and under at 2.62. Both teams to score: yes 1.44, no 2.62.
Our prediction was Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.7 goals and recent form points to 3.2 goals a game.
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Perth Glory | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
Season stats
| Perth Glory | Newcastle Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 1 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 2 / 1 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 6 (2.0) | 3 (1.0) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 4 (1.3) | 6 (2.0) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 4.0 / 1.0 | 0.5 / 2.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 0 | 0 |
| Biggest win | 4-0 | — |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-1-4-1 |
Top scorers
- M. Ellis 2 goals · 0 assists
- J. Kucharski 1 goal · 1 assist
- S. Colakovski 1 goal · 0 assists
- X. Bertoncello 1 goal · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds before kick-off.
Starting line-ups
Daniel Solsky, Tadiwanashe Kuzamba, Cher Deng, Lachlan Jackson, Sam Sutton, Jaiden Kucharski, Lucas Scicluna, William Freney, Stefan Colakovski, Pieter Jacobsz, Sebastian Despotovski
James Nicholas Delianov, Thomas Kevin Aquilina, Joe Shaughnessy, Alex Grant, Daniel Wilmering, Max Burgess, Joe Lolley, Alexander Badolato, Xavier Bertoncello, Nikolaos Vergos, Patrick Wood
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 14:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.03 – 1.51 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 88/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Perth Glory win | 49.8% |
| Draw | 21.5% |
| Newcastle Jets win | 28.7% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 71.3% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 50.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31.5% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53.0% |
| Both teams to score | 67.6% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 11:14, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.2 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.7 goals and recent form points to 3.2 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Perth Glory
LLW
2.0 scored · 1.3 conceded per game
Newcastle Jets
DDL
1.0 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Perth Glory wins 1 draws 3 Newcastle Jets wins last 6 meetings
- Perth Glory1 - 3Newcastle Jets A-League
- Newcastle Jets1 - 2Perth Glory A-League
- Newcastle Jets2 - 2Perth Glory A-League
- Perth Glory0 - 4Newcastle Jets A-League
- Perth Glory2 - 0Newcastle Jets Friendlies Clubs
- Perth Glory2 - 3Newcastle Jets Friendlies Clubs
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 10:45. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
