QPR vs Burnley
England Championship
QPR
Burnley
November 3, 2026 at 20:45 · Loftus Road
Upcoming
QPR vs Burnley prediction and betting tip for this England Championship match, kicking off November 3, 2026 at 20:45 at Loftus Road. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.20), 89% confidence.
- Both Teams to Score - Yes Upcoming
- Over 2.5 Goals Upcoming
QPR vs Burnley Preview
QPR host Burnley in the England Championship (matchday 14) on Tuesday 3 November 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at Loftus Road in London. Tom Reeves is the referee.
QPR are 9th in the table with 20 points from 13 games (5-5-3), while Burnley sit 22nd on 9 points. QPR have a 11-point advantage. At home QPR have won 3 of 6; Burnley have won 1 of 6 on the road.
QPR have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-W-L-W-L), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Burnley have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-D-L-L-D), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings QPR have won 1, Burnley 3, with 2 draws and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2025, finished QPR 0-5 Burnley.
QPR average 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Burnley average 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
QPR will be without R. Burrell (inactive), T. Lamptey (inactive), N. Madsen (injury) and A. S. Mbengue (knee injury). Burnley will be without Z. Amdouni (ankle injury), B. Amos (inactive), J. Beyer (hamstring injury), J. Bruun Larsen (injury), B. Humphreys (muscle injury), H. Mejbri (hamstring injury), M. Obafemi (inactive), S. Sambo (inactive) and M. Tresor Ndayishimiye (inactive), and A. Broja (injury) is doubtful.
Bookmakers make QPR the favourites: QPR 2.00, draw 3.60, Burnley 3.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.67 and under at 2.20. Both teams to score: yes 1.53, no 2.38.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 3.6 goals a game.
Team news
- Out R. Burrell Inactive
- Out T. Lamptey Inactive
- Out N. Madsen Injury
- Out A. S. Mbengue Knee Injury
- Out Z. Amdouni Ankle Injury
- Out B. Amos Inactive
- Out J. Beyer Hamstring Injury
- Out J. Bruun Larsen Injury
- Out B. Humphreys Muscle Injury
- Out H. Mejbri Hamstring Injury
- Out M. Obafemi Inactive
- Out S. Sambo Inactive
- Out M. Tresor Ndayishimiye Inactive
- Doubtful A. Broja Injury
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
Season stats
| QPR | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 5 / 3 | 1 / 6 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 21 (1.6) | 17 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 16 (1.2) | 25 (1.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.2 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 5-0 | 0-4 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 07:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.50 – 1.28 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| QPR win | 64.1% |
| Draw | 17.9% |
| Burnley win | 17.9% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 82.1% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 35.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 27.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 47.8% |
| Both teams to score | 66.2% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 2 Nov 2026, 11:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.0 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 3.6 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
QPR
DWLWL
2.2 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Burnley
WDLLD
1.6 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 QPR wins 2 draws 3 Burnley wins last 6 meetings
- QPR0 - 5Burnley Championship
- Burnley0 - 0QPR Championship
- Burnley1 - 2QPR Championship
- QPR0 - 3Burnley Championship
- Burnley1 - 0QPR Championship
- QPR0 - 0Burnley Championship
Statistics: API-Football · updated 2 Nov 2026, 00:47. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
