Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
November 8, 2026 at 16:15 · Anoeta Stadium
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Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano prediction and betting tip for this Spain La Liga match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 16:15 at Anoeta Stadium. Our tip: Both Teams to Score - Yes (odds 1.57), 67% confidence.
Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Preview
Real Sociedad host Rayo Vallecano in the Spain La Liga (matchday 12) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 16:15 WAT at Anoeta Stadium in San Sebastian.
Real Sociedad are 5th in the table with 19 points from 11 games (6-1-4), while Rayo Vallecano sit 12th on 12 points. Real Sociedad have a 7-point advantage. At home Real Sociedad have won 3 of 5; Rayo Vallecano have won 0 of 5 on the road.
Real Sociedad have four wins and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-W-L), averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Rayo Vallecano have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-D-L-W), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Real Sociedad have won 1, Rayo Vallecano 2, with 3 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Sociedad.
Real Sociedad average 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Rayo Vallecano average 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: L. Sučić leads Real Sociedad's scoring with 4 goals; Sergio Camello leads Rayo Vallecano's scoring with 7 goals and 2 assists.
Bookmakers make Real Sociedad the favourites: Real Sociedad 1.70, draw 4.10, Rayo Vallecano 4.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.57 and under at 2.38. Both teams to score: yes 1.57, no 2.25.
Our prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes. Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings and bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.57.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
Season stats
| Real Sociedad | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 11 | 10 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 6 / 1 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 20 (1.8) | 15 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 20 (1.8) | 20 (2.0) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.4 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 3-2 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- L. Sučić 4 goals · 0 assists
- Sergio Camello 7 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 14:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.91 – 1.54 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 88/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Real Sociedad win | 46.6% |
| Draw | 22.1% |
| Rayo Vallecano win | 31.3% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 68.7% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 53.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54.8% |
| Both teams to score | 66.9% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 7 Nov 2026, 16:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Both Teams to Score - Yes — Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings and bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.57.
Form (last 5)
Real Sociedad
WWWWL
2.8 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Rayo Vallecano
WDDLW
1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Real Sociedad wins 3 draws 2 Rayo Vallecano wins last 6 meetings
- Rayo Vallecano3 - 3Real Sociedad La Liga
- Real Sociedad0 - 1Rayo Vallecano La Liga
- Rayo Vallecano2 - 2Real Sociedad La Liga
- Real Sociedad3 - 1Rayo Vallecano Copa del Rey
- Real Sociedad1 - 2Rayo Vallecano La Liga
- Real Sociedad0 - 0Rayo Vallecano La Liga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 7 Nov 2026, 06:29. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
