Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932
Portugal Segunda Liga
Amarante
Felgueiras 1932
November 15, 2026 at 12:00 · Municipal de Amarante
Upcoming
Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 prediction and betting tip for this Portugal Segunda Liga match, kicking off November 15, 2026 at 12:00 at Municipal de Amarante. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.18), 80% confidence.
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.13 – 1.15 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 77/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarante win | 35.2% | 37.6% | 2.40 | -15.4% |
| Draw | 28.5% | 30.1% | 3.00 | -14.4% |
| Felgueiras 1932 win | 36.2% | 32.3% | 2.80 | +1.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 63.8% | 67.7% | 1.36 | -13.3% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 64.8% | 62.4% | 1.50 | -2.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66.4% | 64.5% | 1.44 | -4.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39.9% | 38.9% | 2.40 | -4.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60.1% | 61.1% | 1.53 | -8.0% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80.3% | 79.2% | 1.18 | -5.2% |
| Both teams to score | 46.3% | 46.4% | 2.00 | -7.5% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 14 Nov 2026, 00:46, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — Recent form points to 3.2 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Amarante
DLLWD
1.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Felgueiras 1932
LLDLD
1.6 scored · 2.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Amarante wins 1 draws 0 Felgueiras 1932 wins last 2 meetings
- Felgueiras 19323 - 5Amarante Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
- Amarante0 - 0Felgueiras 1932 Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B
Statistics: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:46. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
