Cardiff vs West Ham
England Championship
Cardiff
West Ham
November 4, 2026 at 20:45 · Cardiff City Stadium
Upcoming
Cardiff vs West Ham prediction and betting tip for this England Championship match, kicking off November 4, 2026 at 20:45 at Cardiff City Stadium. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.11), 90% confidence.
- Both Teams to Score - Yes Upcoming
- Over 2.5 Goals Upcoming
Cardiff vs West Ham Preview
Cardiff host West Ham in the England Championship (matchday 14) on Wednesday 4 November 2026, kick-off 20:45 WAT at Cardiff City Stadium. Edward Duckworth is the referee.
Cardiff are 17th in the table with 14 points from 13 games (3-5-5), while West Ham sit 8th on 22 points. West Ham have a 8-point advantage. At home Cardiff have won 3 of 6; West Ham have won 3 of 6 on the road.
Cardiff have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-D-W-L), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. West Ham have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-W-W-L-L), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Cardiff have won 1, West Ham 5, with 0 draws and an average of 3.0 goals per game. The most recent, in March 2019, finished Cardiff 2-0 West Ham.
Cardiff average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. West Ham average 2.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets, usually in a 4-4-2.
Cardiff will be without C. Chambers (knee injury) and D. Lawlor (hamstring injury), and K. Bielik (inactive) and C. Robinson (inactive) are doubtful. West Ham will be without K. Mavropanos (knee injury), and K. Lamadrid (injury) is doubtful.
Players to watch: J. Moylan leads Cardiff's scoring with 6 goals and 3 assists; J. Bowen leads West Ham's scoring with 7 goals and 5 assists.
Bookmakers make West Ham the favourites: Cardiff 3.40, draw 3.90, West Ham 1.95 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 3.00. Both teams to score: yes 1.40, no 2.75.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.5 goals a game.
Team news
- Out C. Chambers Knee Injury
- Out D. Lawlor Hamstring Injury
- Doubtful K. Bielik Inactive
- Doubtful C. Robinson Inactive
- Out K. Mavropanos Knee Injury
- Doubtful K. Lamadrid Injury
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
Season stats
| Cardiff | West Ham | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 3 / 5 / 5 | 6 / 4 / 3 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 19 (1.5) | 33 (2.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 20 (1.5) | 18 (1.4) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 2.6 / 2.5 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 |
| Longest winning run | 1 | 4 |
| Biggest win | 5-1 | 6-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
- J. Moylan 6 goals · 3 assists
- J. Bowen 7 goals · 5 assists
- K. Mavropanos 5 goals · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 3 Nov 2026, 13:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.91 – 2.02 · most likely score 1-2 · data quality 100/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff win | 37.4% | 27.7% | 3.40 | +27.3% |
| Draw | 20.9% | 24.1% | 3.90 | -18.6% |
| West Ham win | 41.7% | 48.2% | 1.95 | -18.7% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 58.3% | 51.8% | 1.80 | +4.9% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 62.6% | 72.3% | 1.30 | -18.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.3% | 85.4% | 1.11 | +0.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.2% | 68.2% | 1.40 | +5.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 24.8% | 31.8% | 3.00 | -25.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 44.7% | 52.6% | 1.80 | -19.6% |
| Both teams to score | 73.9% | 66.3% | 1.40 | +3.5% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 3 Nov 2026, 18:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.0 goals and recent form points to 3.5 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Cardiff
LWDWL
1.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
West Ham
DWWLL
2.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
1 Cardiff wins 0 draws 5 West Ham wins last 6 meetings
- Cardiff2 - 0West Ham Premier League
- West Ham3 - 1Cardiff Premier League
- Cardiff0 - 2West Ham Premier League
- West Ham3 - 2Cardiff League Cup
- West Ham2 - 0Cardiff Premier League
- West Ham3 - 0Cardiff Championship
Statistics: API-Football · updated 3 Nov 2026, 13:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
