Cruz Azul vs Leon
Mexico Liga MX
Cruz Azul
Leon
November 2, 2026 at 02:10 · Estadio Banorte
Upcoming
Cruz Azul vs Leon prediction and betting tip for this Mexico Liga MX match, kicking off November 2, 2026 at 02:10 at Estadio Banorte. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.14), 86% confidence.
- Over 2.5 Goals Upcoming
Cruz Azul vs Leon Preview
Cruz Azul host Leon in the Mexico Liga MX (Apertura - 15) on Monday 2 November 2026, kick-off 02:10 WAT at Estadio Banorte in Mexico City. Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle is the referee.
Cruz Azul are 4th in the table with 26 points from 14 games (8-2-4), while Leon sit 7th on 22 points. Cruz Azul have a 4-point advantage. At home Cruz Azul have won 4 of 7; Leon have won 2 of 7 on the road.
Cruz Azul have three wins and two draws in their last 5 league games (D-D-W-W-W), averaging 3.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Leon have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-L-W-D), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Cruz Azul have won 5, Leon 1, with 0 draws and an average of 3.7 goals per game. The most recent, in January 2026, finished Leon 2-1 Cruz Azul.
Cruz Azul average 2.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Leon average 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-1-4-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: N. Ibáñez leads Cruz Azul's scoring with 5 goals and 2 assists; J. Alvarado leads Leon's scoring with 5 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Cruz Azul the favourites: Cruz Azul 1.67, draw 4.10, Leon 4.50 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.50 and under at 2.50. Both teams to score: yes 1.53, no 2.38.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.7 goals and recent form points to 4.1 goals a game.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +9 | 26 |
| 7 | Leon | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
Season stats
| Cruz Azul | Leon | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 8 / 2 / 4 | 6 / 4 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 32 (2.3) | 21 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 23 (1.6) | 18 (1.3) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.4 / 2.1 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 5-0 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-1-4-1 |
Top scorers
- N. Ibáñez 5 goals · 2 assists
- G. Fernández 5 goals · 1 assist
- J. Alvarado 5 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 07:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.32 – 1.09 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Cruz Azul win | 64.8% |
| Draw | 18.7% |
| Leon win | 16.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 83.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 35.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.7% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55.5% |
| Both teams to score | 59.9% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.3 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 3.7 goals and recent form points to 4.1 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Cruz Azul
DDWWW
3.2 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Leon
WDLWD
1.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
5 Cruz Azul wins 0 draws 1 Leon wins last 6 meetings
- Leon2 - 1Cruz Azul Liga MX
- Cruz Azul4 - 1Leon Liga MX
- Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon Liga MX
- Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul Liga MX
- Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon Liga MX
- Leon1 - 2Cruz Azul Liga MX
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 00:11. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
