Eldense vs Sabadell
Spain Segunda División
Eldense
Sabadell
November 15, 2026 at 18:30 · Nuevo Pepico Amat
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Eldense vs Sabadell prediction and betting tip for this Spain Segunda División match, kicking off November 15, 2026 at 18:30 at Nuevo Pepico Amat. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.18), 87% confidence.
Eldense vs Sabadell Preview
Eldense host Sabadell in the Spain Segunda División (matchday 14) on Sunday 15 November 2026, kick-off 18:30 WAT at Nuevo Pepico Amat in Alicante.
Eldense are 16th in the table with 14 points from 13 games (4-2-7), while Sabadell sit 13th on 18 points. Sabadell have a 4-point advantage. At home Eldense have won 2 of 6; Sabadell have won 1 of 7 on the road.
Eldense have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-L-L-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Sabadell have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-D-L-D), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.
In their last 4 meetings Eldense have won 3, Sabadell 0, with 1 draw and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in February 2026, finished Eldense 2-1 Sabadell.
Eldense average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Sabadell average 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 6 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Bookmakers make Eldense the favourites: Eldense 2.38, draw 3.00, Sabadell 3.10 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.40 and under at 1.53. Both teams to score: yes 2.00, no 1.73.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.1 goals, their last 4 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 16 | Eldense | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 14 |
Season stats
| Eldense | Sabadell | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 4 / 2 / 7 | 4 / 6 / 3 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 13 (1.0) | 12 (0.9) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 19 (1.5) | 11 (0.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.6 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 6 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 4-1 | 3-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-4-2 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:47. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0.98 – 0.95 · most likely score 0-0 · data quality 92/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense win | 35.0% | 39.0% | 2.38 | -16.8% |
| Draw | 31.6% | 31.0% | 3.00 | -5.3% |
| Sabadell win | 33.5% | 30.0% | 3.10 | +3.8% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 66.5% | 70.0% | 1.36 | -9.5% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 65.0% | 61.0% | 1.53 | -0.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57.4% | 64.5% | 1.44 | -17.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30.3% | 38.9% | 2.40 | -27.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 69.7% | 61.1% | 1.53 | +6.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 87.0% | 79.2% | 1.18 | +2.7% |
| Both teams to score | 38.2% | 46.4% | 2.00 | -23.6% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 14 Nov 2026, 00:46, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.1 goals, their last 4 meetings averaged 2.0 goals and recent form points to 2.3 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Eldense
WWLLL
1.0 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Sabadell
WLDLD
0.8 scored · 1.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
3 Eldense wins 1 draws 0 Sabadell wins last 4 meetings
- Eldense2 - 1Sabadell Primera División RFEF - Group 2
- Sabadell0 - 0Eldense Primera División RFEF - Group 2
- Eldense1 - 0Sabadell Primera División RFEF - Group 2
- Sabadell1 - 3Eldense Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Statistics: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:46. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
