Las Palmas vs Eldense
Spain Segunda División
Las Palmas
Eldense
November 9, 2026 at 20:30 · Gran Canaria
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Las Palmas vs Eldense prediction and betting tip for this Spain Segunda División match, kicking off November 9, 2026 at 20:30 at Gran Canaria. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.40), 78% confidence.
Las Palmas vs Eldense Preview
Las Palmas host Eldense in the Spain Segunda División (matchday 13) on Monday 9 November 2026, kick-off 20:30 WAT at Gran Canaria in Las Palmas de Gran Canaria. Eder Mallo Fernandez is the referee.
Las Palmas are 13th in the table with 17 points from 12 games (5-2-5), while Eldense sit 15th on 14 points. Only 3 points separate them. At home Las Palmas have won 2 of 6; Eldense have won 2 of 6 on the road.
Las Palmas have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (D-L-L-W-W), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Eldense have three wins and two defeats in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-L-L), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
Las Palmas average 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 2 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2. Eldense average 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 6 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: Jesé leads Las Palmas's scoring with 4 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Las Palmas the favourites: Las Palmas 2.00, draw 3.50, Eldense 3.60 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.75 and under at 2.05. Both teams to score: yes 1.62, no 2.20.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.9 goals, recent form points to 3.4 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.40.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -4 | 17 |
| 15 | Eldense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 14 |
Season stats
| Las Palmas | Eldense | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 12 | 12 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 2 / 5 | 4 / 2 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 17 (1.4) | 13 (1.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 21 (1.8) | 17 (1.4) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.0 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 6 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 3 |
| Biggest win | 2-1 | 4-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-4-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- Jesé 4 goals · 1 assist
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 9 Nov 2026, 16:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.49 – 0.89 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 84/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 51.1% |
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Eldense win | 22.6% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 77.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 48.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78.4% |
| Both teams to score | 45.6% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 33%, draw 33%, away 33%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 9 Nov 2026, 16:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.9 goals, recent form points to 3.4 goals a game and bookmakers price under 3.5 at 1.40.
Form (last 5)
Las Palmas
DLLWW
1.4 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Eldense
WWWLL
1.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
These teams have not met recently.
Statistics: API-Football · updated 9 Nov 2026, 09:46. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
