Millonarios vs America de Cali
Colombia Primera A
Millonarios
America de Cali
November 5, 2026 at 02:30
Upcoming
Millonarios vs America de Cali prediction and betting tip for this Colombia Primera A match, kicking off November 5, 2026 at 02:30. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.28), 82% confidence.
Millonarios vs America de Cali Preview
Millonarios host America de Cali in the Colombia Primera A (Clausura - 17) on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 02:30 WAT.
Millonarios are 6th in the table with 26 points from 16 games (6-8-2), while America de Cali sit 2nd on 34 points. America de Cali have a 8-point advantage. At home Millonarios have won 3 of 7; America de Cali have won 3 of 7 on the road.
Millonarios have one win and four draws in their last 5 league games (D-D-D-W-D), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. America de Cali have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-L-D-W-W), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Millonarios have won 2, America de Cali 2, with 2 draws and an average of 2.2 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished America de Cali 3-1 Millonarios.
Millonarios average 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 11 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 5-3-2. America de Cali average 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 16 clean sheets and 7 games without scoring, usually in a 4-4-2.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: A. Estupiñán leads Millonarios's scoring with 19 goals and 4 assists; Y. Guzmán leads America de Cali's scoring with 20 goals and 6 assists.
Bookmakers make Millonarios the favourites: Millonarios 1.85, draw 3.40, America de Cali 4.20 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.05 and under at 1.75. Both teams to score: yes 1.83, no 1.83.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.6 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.2 goals and recent form points to 3.0 goals a game.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +19 | 34 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | +10 | 26 |
Season stats
| Millonarios | America de Cali | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 35 | 37 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 13 / 13 / 9 | 20 / 8 / 9 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 55 (1.6) | 57 (1.5) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 37 (1.1) | 32 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2.0 / 1.1 |
| Clean sheets | 11 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 7 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 4 |
| Biggest win | 5-1 | 7-0 |
| Usual formation | 5-3-2 | 4-4-2 |
Top scorers
- A. Estupiñán 19 goals · 4 assists
- L. Castro 12 goals · 6 assists
- R. Contreras 10 goals · 1 assist
- Y. Guzmán 20 goals · 6 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 00:47. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.29 – 0.91 · most likely score 1-0 · data quality 92/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millonarios win | 45.2% | 50.4% | 1.85 | -16.4% |
| Draw | 28.5% | 27.4% | 3.40 | -3.1% |
| America de Cali win | 26.3% | 22.2% | 4.20 | +10.5% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 73.7% | 77.8% | 1.22 | -10.1% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 54.8% | 49.6% | 1.91 | +4.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64.4% | 71.0% | 1.33 | -14.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37.6% | 46.1% | 2.05 | -23.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62.4% | 53.9% | 1.75 | +9.2% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82.1% | 73.2% | 1.28 | +5.0% |
| Both teams to score | 43.2% | 50.0% | 1.83 | -21.0% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 4 Nov 2026, 05:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.6 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.2 goals and recent form points to 3.0 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Millonarios
DDDWD
1.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
America de Cali
WLDWW
1.8 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Millonarios wins 2 draws 2 America de Cali wins last 6 meetings
- America de Cali3 - 1Millonarios Primera A
- Millonarios2 - 1America de Cali Primera A
- America de Cali0 - 0Millonarios Primera A
- Millonarios1 - 1America de Cali Friendlies Clubs
- America de Cali2 - 1Millonarios Primera A
- Millonarios1 - 0America de Cali Primera A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 00:46. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
