Nafta vs Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenia 1. SNL
Nafta
Olimpija Ljubljana
November 6, 2026 at 17:30
Upcoming
Nafta vs Olimpija Ljubljana prediction and betting tip for this Slovenia 1. SNL match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 17:30. Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals (odds 1.36), 86% confidence.
Nafta vs Olimpija Ljubljana Preview
Nafta host Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia 1. SNL (matchday 15) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 17:30 WAT. A. Matkovic is the referee.
Nafta are 6th in the table with 18 points from 14 games (5-3-6), while Olimpija Ljubljana sit 3rd on 22 points. Olimpija Ljubljana have a 4-point advantage. At home Nafta have won 3 of 7; Olimpija Ljubljana have won 3 of 7 on the road.
Nafta have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-D-D-L), averaging 0.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Olimpija Ljubljana have two wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-D-W), averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Nafta have won 0, Olimpija Ljubljana 5, with 1 draw and an average of 2.2 goals per game. The most recent, in August 2026, finished Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Nafta.
Nafta average 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 6 games without scoring. Olimpija Ljubljana average 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 6 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Bookmakers make Olimpija Ljubljana the favourites: Nafta 4.00, draw 3.70, Olimpija Ljubljana 1.75 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.80 and under at 1.91. Both teams to score: yes 1.80, no 1.91.
Our prediction: Under 3.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.2 goals and recent form points to 2.0 goals a game.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 22 |
| 6 | Nafta | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
Season stats
| Nafta | Olimpija Ljubljana | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 14 | 14 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 5 / 3 / 6 | 6 / 4 / 4 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 18 (1.3) | 16 (1.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 20 (1.4) | 12 (0.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.7 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 5-2 | 3-0 |
| Usual formation | — | 4-3-3 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 06:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 0.83 – 1.16 · most likely score 0-1 · data quality 80/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Nafta win | 26.3% |
| Draw | 30.3% |
| Olimpija Ljubljana win | 43.4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 56.6% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 73.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67.8% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85.8% |
| Both teams to score | 38.8% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 5 Nov 2026, 13:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Under 3.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 2.4 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 2.2 goals and recent form points to 2.0 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Nafta
LWDDL
0.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Olimpija Ljubljana
LDWDW
1.4 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
0 Nafta wins 1 draws 5 Olimpija Ljubljana wins last 6 meetings
- Olimpija Ljubljana1 - 0Nafta 1. SNL
- Nafta1 - 1Olimpija Ljubljana 1. SNL
- Olimpija Ljubljana3 - 0Nafta 1. SNL
- Nafta0 - 1Olimpija Ljubljana 1. SNL
- Olimpija Ljubljana2 - 0Nafta 1. SNL
- Nafta1 - 3Olimpija Ljubljana Cup
Statistics: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 06:29. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
