Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgaria First League
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
November 6, 2026 at 16:00 · Dragalevtsi Stadium,
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Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia prediction and betting tip for this Bulgaria First League match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 16:00 at Dragalevtsi Stadium,. Our tip: Both Teams to Score - Yes (odds 1.67), 63% confidence.
Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia Preview
Septemvri Sofia host Lokomotiv Sofia in the Bulgaria First League (matchday 13) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 16:00 WAT at Dragalevtsi Stadium, in Sofia.
Septemvri Sofia are 14th in the table with 8 points from 13 games (2-2-9), while Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th on 9 points. Only 1 point separates them. At home Septemvri Sofia have won 1 of 6; Lokomotiv Sofia have won 1 of 6 on the road.
Septemvri Sofia have five defeats in their last 5 league games (L-L-L-L-L), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Lokomotiv Sofia have one win, two draws and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-D-D-L), averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Septemvri Sofia have won 2, Lokomotiv Sofia 3, with 1 draw and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Lokomotiv Sofia 1-1 Septemvri Sofia.
Septemvri Sofia average 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Lokomotiv Sofia average 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 1 game without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: André Filipe Rio Liberal leads Septemvri Sofia's scoring with 1 goal and 1 assist; S. Delev leads Lokomotiv Sofia's scoring with 1 goal and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Lokomotiv Sofia the favourites: Septemvri Sofia 3.10, draw 3.40, Lokomotiv Sofia 2.25 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.90 and under at 1.90. Both teams to score: yes 1.67, no 2.10.
Our prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes. Bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.67.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Septemvri Sofia | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 8 |
Season stats
| Septemvri Sofia | Lokomotiv Sofia | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 2 / 2 / 9 | 1 / 6 / 6 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 11 (0.8) | 15 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 25 (1.9) | 25 (1.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.0 / 0.7 | 1.0 / 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- André Filipe Rio Liberal 1 goal · 1 assist
- F. Herard 1 goal · 0 assists
- A. Dzhamov 1 goal · 0 assists
- S. Delev 1 goal · 1 assist
- D. Kostadinov 1 goal · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 06:30. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.70 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia win | 32.8% |
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Lokomotiv Sofia win | 43.7% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 56.3% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 67.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61.6% |
| Both teams to score | 62.4% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 10%, draw 45%, away 45%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 5 Nov 2026, 13:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Both Teams to Score - Yes — Bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.67.
Form (last 5)
Septemvri Sofia
LLLLL
0.8 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Lokomotiv Sofia
LWDDL
1.0 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Septemvri Sofia wins 1 draws 3 Lokomotiv Sofia wins last 6 meetings
- Lokomotiv Sofia1 - 1Septemvri Sofia First League
- Lokomotiv Sofia3 - 0Septemvri Sofia First League
- Septemvri Sofia1 - 0Lokomotiv Sofia First League
- Septemvri Sofia0 - 2Lokomotiv Sofia First League
- Lokomotiv Sofia1 - 2Septemvri Sofia First League
- Septemvri Sofia0 - 1Lokomotiv Sofia First League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 06:29. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
