Palmeiras vs Remo
Brazil Serie A
Palmeiras
Remo
November 5, 2026 at 23:30 · Nubank Parque
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Palmeiras vs Remo prediction and betting tip for this Brazil Serie A match, kicking off November 5, 2026 at 23:30 at Nubank Parque. Our tip: Double Chance: Home or Draw (1X) (odds 1.04), 93% confidence.
Palmeiras vs Remo Preview
Palmeiras host Remo in the Brazil Serie A (matchday 34) on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 23:30 WAT at Nubank Parque in Sao Paulo. W. Sampaio is the referee.
Palmeiras are 2nd in the table with 70 points from 33 games (20-10-3), while Remo sit 19th on 29 points. Palmeiras have a 41-point advantage. At home Palmeiras have won 12 of 16; Remo have won 2 of 16 on the road.
Palmeiras have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-W-D), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. Remo have one win, three draws and one defeat in their last 5 league games (D-D-D-L-W), averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
In their last 1 meetings Palmeiras have won 0, Remo 0, with 1 draw and an average of 2.0 goals per game. The most recent, in May 2026, finished Remo 1-1 Palmeiras.
Palmeiras average 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 16 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Remo average 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 11 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Palmeiras will be without Jefte (knee injury), Paulinho (calf injury) and R. Sosa (muscle injury). Remo will be without Gabriel Poveda (injury), Joao Lucas (knee injury) and Matheus Felipe (injury), and Marlon (injury) is doubtful.
Players to watch: J. López leads Palmeiras's scoring with 9 goals and 6 assists; Jája Silva leads Remo's scoring with 9 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Palmeiras the favourites: Palmeiras 1.22, draw 6.50, Remo 13.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.53 and under at 2.40. Both teams to score: yes 2.05, no 1.70.
Our prediction: Palmeiras or draw (1X). The model gives Palmeiras or a draw a 90% chance, Palmeiras have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 17 places above Remo.
Team news
- Out Jefte Knee Injury
- Out Paulinho Calf Injury
- Out R. Sosa Muscle Injury
- Out Gabriel Poveda Injury
- Out Joao Lucas Knee Injury
- Out Matheus Felipe Injury
- Doubtful Marlon Injury
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | +34 | 70 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -15 | 29 |
Season stats
| Palmeiras | Remo | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 33 | 33 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 20 / 10 / 3 | 6 / 11 / 16 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 56 (1.7) | 36 (1.1) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 22 (0.7) | 51 (1.5) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 16 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 11 |
| Longest winning run | 5 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 5-1 | 4-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- J. López 9 goals · 6 assists
- Maurício 9 goals · 1 assist
- Jája Silva 9 goals · 1 assist
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 00:47. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.02 – 0.48 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 93/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras win | 74.0% | 78.0% | 1.22 | -9.7% |
| Draw | 18.3% | 14.6% | 6.50 | +18.9% |
| Remo win | 7.7% | 7.3% | 13.00 | +0.4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 92.3% | 92.7% | 1.04 | -4.0% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 26.0% | 22.0% | 4.00 | +4.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71.4% | 81.0% | 1.17 | -16.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45.8% | 61.1% | 1.53 | -29.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54.2% | 38.9% | 2.40 | +30.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75.6% | 60.3% | 1.57 | +18.7% |
| Both teams to score | 33.2% | 45.3% | 2.05 | -31.9% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 4 Nov 2026, 05:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Palmeiras or draw (1X) — The model gives Palmeiras or a draw a 90% chance, Palmeiras have won 4 of their last 5 and they sit 2nd, 17 places above Remo.
Form (last 5)
Palmeiras
WWWWD
1.8 scored · 0.2 conceded per game
Remo
DDDLW
0.8 scored · 0.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
0 Palmeiras wins 1 draws 0 Remo wins last 1 meeting
- Remo1 - 1Palmeiras Serie A
Statistics: API-Football · updated 4 Nov 2026, 00:46. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
