Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC
USA Major League Soccer
Atlanta United FC
Toronto FC
November 1, 2026 at 22:30 · Atlanta Stadium
Upcoming
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC prediction and betting tip for this USA Major League Soccer match, kicking off November 1, 2026 at 22:30 at Atlanta Stadium. Our tip: Both Teams to Score - Yes (odds 1.44), 55% confidence.
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC Preview
Atlanta United FC host Toronto FC in the USA Major League Soccer (matchday 33) on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 22:30 WAT at Atlanta Stadium. Filip Dujic is the referee.
Atlanta United FC are 14th in the table with 30 points from 32 games (8-6-18), while Toronto FC sit 12th on 39 points. Toronto FC have a 9-point advantage. At home Atlanta United FC have won 4 of 16; Toronto FC have won 3 of 15 on the road.
Atlanta United FC have one win and four defeats in their last 5 league games (L-W-L-L-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Toronto FC have three wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-D-W-L-W), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Atlanta United FC have won 2, Toronto FC 1, with 3 draws and an average of 2.3 goals per game. The most recent, in April 2026, finished Toronto FC 1-2 Atlanta United FC.
Atlanta United FC average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 9 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3. Toronto FC average 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
Atlanta United FC will be without D. Chica (knee injury), and E. Mihaj (hip injury) and W. Reilly (ankle injury) are doubtful. Toronto FC will be without K. Franklin (shoulder injury), N. Palacio (lower-body injury) and W. Zimmerman (ankle injury).
Bookmakers make Atlanta United FC the favourites: Atlanta United FC 2.15, draw 4.00, Toronto FC 3.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.48 and under at 2.60. Both teams to score: yes 1.44, no 2.62.
Our prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes. Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings and bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.44.
Team news
- Out D. Chica Knee Injury
- Doubtful E. Mihaj Hip Injury
- Doubtful W. Reilly Ankle Injury
- Out K. Franklin Shoulder Injury
- Out N. Palacio Lower-Body Injury
- Out W. Zimmerman Ankle Injury
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 39 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | -16 | 30 |
Season stats
| Atlanta United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 32 | 32 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 8 / 6 / 18 | 9 / 12 / 11 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 40 (1.3) | 50 (1.6) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 56 (1.8) | 60 (1.9) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 2.1 / 0.9 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 5 |
| Longest winning run | 3 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Usual formation | 4-3-3 | 4-2-3-1 |
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 09:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.44 – 1.26 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC win | 41.3% |
| Draw | 25.7% |
| Toronto FC win | 33.0% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 67.0% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 58.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.4% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71.5% |
| Both teams to score | 54.6% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 35%, draw 35%, away 30%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 12:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Both Teams to Score - Yes — Both teams scored in 4 of the last 6 meetings and bookmakers price both teams to score at 1.44.
Form (last 5)
Atlanta United FC
LWLLL
1.6 scored · 2.2 conceded per game
Toronto FC
WDWLW
2.2 scored · 1.8 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Atlanta United FC wins 3 draws 1 Toronto FC wins last 6 meetings
- Toronto FC1 - 2Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer
- Atlanta United FC0 - 0Toronto FC Major League Soccer
- Toronto FC1 - 1Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer
- Atlanta United FC2 - 1Toronto FC Major League Soccer
- Toronto FC2 - 0Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer
- Toronto FC2 - 2Atlanta United FC Major League Soccer
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 09:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
