Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls
USA Major League Soccer
Nashville SC
New York Red Bulls
November 1, 2026 at 22:30 · Geodis Park
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Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls prediction and betting tip for this USA Major League Soccer match, kicking off November 1, 2026 at 22:30 at Geodis Park. Our tip: Home Win Either Half, 81% confidence.
Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls Preview
Nashville SC host New York Red Bulls in the USA Major League Soccer (matchday 33) on Sunday 1 November 2026, kick-off 22:30 WAT at Geodis Park in Nashville. Sergii Demianchuk is the referee.
Nashville SC are 1st in the table with 71 points from 32 games (21-8-3), while New York Red Bulls sit 10th on 39 points. Nashville SC have a 32-point advantage. At home Nashville SC have won 14 of 16; New York Red Bulls have won 5 of 16 on the road.
Nashville SC have three wins and two draws in their last 5 league games (W-W-D-W-D), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. New York Red Bulls have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-L-W-L), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings Nashville SC have won 2, New York Red Bulls 2, with 2 draws and an average of 1.2 goals per game. The most recent, in August 2026, finished New York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SC.
Nashville SC average 2.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 16 clean sheets and 6 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. New York Red Bulls average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets and 9 games without scoring, usually in a 4-3-3.
Nashville SC will be without O. Presthus (lower-body injury), and F. Camara (lower-body injury) is doubtful. New York Red Bulls will be without J. Che (knee injury), R. Donkor (yellow cards) and D. Nealis (yellow cards).
Players to watch: S. Surridge leads Nashville SC's scoring with 18 goals and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Nashville SC the favourites: Nashville SC 1.53, draw 5.00, New York Red Bulls 5.25 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.44 and under at 2.70. Both teams to score: yes 1.57, no 2.25.
Our prediction: Home Win Either Half.
Team news
- Out O. Presthus Lower-Body Injury
- Doubtful F. Camara Lower-Body Injury
- Out J. Che Knee Injury
- Out R. Donkor Yellow Cards
- Out D. Nealis Yellow Cards
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | +43 | 71 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 39 |
Season stats
| Nashville SC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 32 | 32 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 21 / 8 / 3 | 11 / 6 / 15 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 66 (2.1) | 43 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 23 (0.7) | 59 (1.8) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.8 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 16 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 9 |
| Longest winning run | 5 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-3-3 |
Top scorers
- S. Surridge 18 goals · 1 assist
- H. Mukhtar 16 goals · 7 assists
No player in the league's top scorers list.
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 06:27. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.10 – 0.67 · most likely score 2-0 · data quality 81/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Nashville SC win | 70.8% |
| Draw | 18.7% |
| New York Red Bulls win | 10.6% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 89.4% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 29.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69.8% |
| Both teams to score | 42.7% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 1 Nov 2026, 12:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Home Win Either Half
Form (last 5)
Nashville SC
WWDWD
2.2 scored · 0.4 conceded per game
New York Red Bulls
WLLWL
1.8 scored · 1.6 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
2 Nashville SC wins 2 draws 2 New York Red Bulls wins last 6 meetings
- New York Red Bulls0 - 1Nashville SC Major League Soccer
- Nashville SC2 - 1New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer
- New York Red Bulls2 - 0Nashville SC Major League Soccer
- New York Red Bulls0 - 0Nashville SC Major League Soccer
- Nashville SC0 - 0New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer
- Nashville SC0 - 1New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer
Statistics: API-Football · updated 1 Nov 2026, 00:11. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
