Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse
Bulgaria First League
Botev Plovdiv
Dunav Ruse
November 6, 2026 at 18:15 · Hristo Botev Stadium
Upcoming
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse prediction and betting tip for this Bulgaria First League match, kicking off November 6, 2026 at 18:15 at Hristo Botev Stadium. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.20), 88% confidence.
- Both Teams to Score - Yes Upcoming
- Over 2.5 Goals Upcoming
Botev Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse Preview
Botev Plovdiv host Dunav Ruse in the Bulgaria First League (matchday 13) on Friday 6 November 2026, kick-off 18:15 WAT at Hristo Botev Stadium in Plovdiv.
Botev Plovdiv are 5th in the table with 22 points from 13 games (7-1-5), while Dunav Ruse sit 10th on 11 points. Botev Plovdiv have a 11-point advantage. At home Botev Plovdiv have won 4 of 6; Dunav Ruse have won 2 of 6 on the road.
Botev Plovdiv have four wins and one defeat in their last 5 league games (W-W-W-L-W), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Dunav Ruse have two wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 5 league games (L-D-W-W-L), averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
In their last 5 meetings Botev Plovdiv have won 4, Dunav Ruse 0, with 1 draw and an average of 3.6 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2020, finished Botev Plovdiv 3-1 Dunav Ruse.
Botev Plovdiv average 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets and 3 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1. Dunav Ruse average 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet and 4 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: I. Budinov leads Dunav Ruse's scoring with 1 goal and 1 assist.
Bookmakers make Botev Plovdiv the favourites: Botev Plovdiv 1.40, draw 5.00, Dunav Ruse 7.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.70 and under at 2.10. Both teams to score: yes 1.83, no 1.83.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.1 goals, their last 5 meetings averaged 3.6 goals and recent form points to 3.2 goals a game.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 11 |
Season stats
| Botev Plovdiv | Dunav Ruse | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 7 / 1 / 5 | 3 / 2 / 8 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 22 (1.7) | 15 (1.2) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 20 (1.5) | 22 (1.7) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 |
| Longest winning run | 4 | 2 |
| Biggest win | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Usual formation | 4-2-3-1 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
No player in the league's top scorers list.
- I. Budinov 1 goal · 1 assist
- Andre Alves 1 goal · 0 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 09:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.34 – 1.31 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 82/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv win | 60.4% |
| Draw | 19.2% |
| Dunav Ruse win | 20.4% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 79.6% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 39.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 29.5% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 50.6% |
| Both teams to score | 65.9% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 5 Nov 2026, 12:13, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.1 goals, their last 5 meetings averaged 3.6 goals and recent form points to 3.2 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Botev Plovdiv
WWWLW
2.2 scored · 1.2 conceded per game
Dunav Ruse
LDWWL
1.6 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 Botev Plovdiv wins 1 draws 0 Dunav Ruse wins last 5 meetings
- Botev Plovdiv3 - 1Dunav Ruse First League
- Dunav Ruse1 - 2Botev Plovdiv First League
- Botev Plovdiv3 - 1Dunav Ruse First League
- Dunav Ruse1 - 1Botev Plovdiv First League
- Botev Plovdiv4 - 1Dunav Ruse First League
Statistics: API-Football · updated 5 Nov 2026, 00:46. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
