Club Queretaro vs Monterrey
Mexico Liga MX
Club Queretaro
Monterrey
November 15, 2026 at 00:00 · Estadio La Corregidora
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Club Queretaro vs Monterrey prediction and betting tip for this Mexico Liga MX match, kicking off November 15, 2026 at 00:00 at Estadio La Corregidora. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.17), 81% confidence.
Model probabilities
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.54 · most likely score 1-1 · data quality 91/100
| Market | Model | Bookmaker* | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro win | 36.9% | 26.5% | 3.60 | +33.0% |
| Draw | 24.1% | 25.8% | 3.70 | -10.8% |
| Monterrey win | 38.9% | 47.7% | 2.00 | -22.1% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 61.1% | 52.3% | 1.80 | +9.9% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 63.1% | 73.5% | 1.28 | -19.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.7% | 81.0% | 1.17 | -5.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.5% | 59.0% | 1.60 | -6.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.5% | 41.0% | 2.30 | -4.6% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63.9% | 60.9% | 1.53 | -2.3% |
| Both teams to score | 61.0% | 60.9% | 1.53 | -6.7% |
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 14 Nov 2026, 00:46, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. *Bookmaker probability with the margin removed (Bet365). Value = model probability × odds − 1. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — Their last 6 meetings averaged 2.7 goals and recent form points to 3.7 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
Club Queretaro
LLLLL
0.6 scored · 3.0 conceded per game
Monterrey
WWLDL
1.8 scored · 2.0 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
0 Club Queretaro wins 2 draws 4 Monterrey wins last 6 meetings
- Monterrey4 - 0Club Queretaro Liga MX
- Club Queretaro0 - 1Monterrey Liga MX
- Club Queretaro2 - 4Monterrey Liga MX
- Monterrey2 - 1Club Queretaro Liga MX
- Monterrey1 - 1Club Queretaro Liga MX
- Club Queretaro0 - 0Monterrey Liga MX
Statistics: API-Football · updated 14 Nov 2026, 00:46. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
