FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske
Denmark Superliga
FC Midtjylland
Sonderjyske
November 8, 2026 at 18:00 · MCH Arena
Upcoming
FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske prediction and betting tip for this Denmark Superliga match, kicking off November 8, 2026 at 18:00 at MCH Arena. Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals (odds 1.10), 90% confidence.
- Over 2.5 Goals Upcoming
- Home Win Either Half Upcoming
FC Midtjylland vs Sonderjyske Preview
FC Midtjylland host Sonderjyske in the Denmark Superliga (matchday 14) on Sunday 8 November 2026, kick-off 18:00 WAT at MCH Arena in Herning. Morten Krogh is the referee.
FC Midtjylland are 1st in the table with 31 points from 13 games (9-4-0), while Sonderjyske sit 12th on 8 points. FC Midtjylland have a 23-point advantage. At home FC Midtjylland have won 5 of 6; Sonderjyske have won 0 of 6 on the road.
FC Midtjylland have four wins and one draw in their last 5 league games (D-W-W-W-W), averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Sonderjyske have two wins and three defeats in their last 5 league games (W-L-W-L-L), averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded.
In their last 6 meetings FC Midtjylland have won 4, Sonderjyske 1, with 1 draw and an average of 5.3 goals per game. The most recent, in July 2026, finished Sonderjyske 2-3 FC Midtjylland.
FC Midtjylland average 2.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets, usually in a 3-4-1-2. Sonderjyske average 1.3 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets and 5 games without scoring, usually in a 4-2-3-1.
No injuries or suspensions have been reported for either side so far.
Players to watch: F. Etim leads FC Midtjylland's scoring with 6 goals and 3 assists; M. Haidara leads Sonderjyske's scoring with 5 goals.
Bookmakers make FC Midtjylland the favourites: FC Midtjylland 1.36, draw 5.50, Sonderjyske 7.00 (Bet365). Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.40 and under at 2.88. Both teams to score: yes 1.67, no 2.10.
Our prediction: Over 1.5 Goals. The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 5.3 goals and recent form points to 3.9 goals a game.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | +12 | 31 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -14 | 8 |
Season stats
| FC Midtjylland | Sonderjyske | |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 13 | 13 |
| Won / Drawn / Lost | 9 / 4 / 0 | 2 / 2 / 9 |
| Goals scored (per game) | 27 (2.1) | 17 (1.3) |
| Goals conceded (per game) | 15 (1.2) | 31 (2.4) |
| Scored at home / away (per game) | 2.3 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 |
| Longest winning run | 2 | 1 |
| Biggest win | 4-1 | 4-0 |
| Usual formation | 3-4-1-2 | 4-2-3-1 |
Top scorers
- F. Etim 6 goals · 3 assists
- M. Haidara 5 goals · 0 assists
- O. De Rosario 3 goals · 2 assists
Odds (Bet365)
Odds change often — check with your bookmaker before betting.
Data: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 16:26. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Model probabilities
Expected goals 2.77 – 1.15 · most likely score 2-1 · data quality 87/100
| Market | Model |
|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland win | 71.3% |
| Draw | 15.5% |
| Sonderjyske win | 13.2% |
| Home or draw (1X) | 86.8% |
| Away or draw (X2) | 28.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25.1% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 45.0% |
| Both teams to score | 63.9% |
For comparison, API-Football's own prediction: home 45%, draw 45%, away 10%.
Calculated by our statistical model (Poisson goals model with team strength, home advantage, recent form and expected goals) on 8 Nov 2026, 16:14, model 2.0.0-13d8eb-poisson. Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. Please gamble responsibly (18+).
Match Analysis
API-Football win probability (for comparison)
Our tip: Over 1.5 Goals — The two sides' season numbers point to about 3.5 goals, their last 6 meetings averaged 5.3 goals and recent form points to 3.9 goals a game.
Form (last 5)
FC Midtjylland
DWWWW
2.2 scored · 1.4 conceded per game
Sonderjyske
WLWLL
1.8 scored · 2.4 conceded per game
Team comparison
Head-to-head
4 FC Midtjylland wins 1 draws 1 Sonderjyske wins last 6 meetings
- Sonderjyske2 - 3FC Midtjylland Superliga
- Sonderjyske1 - 2FC Midtjylland Superliga
- FC Midtjylland2 - 2Sonderjyske Superliga
- Sonderjyske3 - 6FC Midtjylland Friendlies Clubs
- Sonderjyske2 - 1FC Midtjylland Superliga
- FC Midtjylland6 - 2Sonderjyske Superliga
Statistics: API-Football · updated 8 Nov 2026, 04:26. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees — please gamble responsibly (18+).
